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Predictions

  • Nov. 4th, 2008 at 10:38 AM
jaboobyville
I just made it into the office, after driving by a few polling places on the way in. Everything looks to be running smoothly, with steady traffic and no lines in my area. Local radio is reporting minor problems in a couple of Florida counties, including Pasco and Palm Beach, but any issues don't seem to be major.

If you're a Florida voter, please let us know if you experience any voting problems, delays or irregularities!
Poll #1291189 Who will win Florida

Who will win Florida today?

McCain / Palin
29(15.8%)
Obama / Biden
111(60.3%)
Recount
19(10.3%)
Jeb!
0(0.0%)
Mickey Mouse
25(13.6%)


In the meantime, let's have a poll of our own!

Comments

( Comment )
brennakimi wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 04:20 pm (UTC)
I'd like to see an Obama victory in Florida, but I'm just not counting on it. I haven't seen the kind of shift in the I-4 corridor that would actually predict such a thing.

However, I really am quite optomistic about ridding ourselves of the Diaz-Balarts--not that I live in Miami.
jaboobyville wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 04:27 pm (UTC)
Yeah, Senator McCain did make a point of rolling the Straight Talk Express down I-4 a couple of weeks ago. That's still a strong region for the GOP.

That said, the electorate has been very evenly split here in Florida, and registration and early voting numbers appear to favor the Democrats. Couple that with Latinos moving to Obama and high African-American turn-out, and an Obama victory seems plausible.
brennakimi wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 04:50 pm (UTC)
Well. The I-4 is the tipping point. (Except for Tallahassee) North Florida is quite rosy and South Florida is pretty blue.

The trick is that Palin may have seriously cost McCain the bit of the Jewish vote that helped Bush quite a bit before and that the registration campaigns may have enfranchised not only blacks, but a solid group of non-Cuban latinos. I'm really not so sure the Cuban vote is going anywhere unpredictable, but it could be.

But, it's cloudy here, and weather can change a lot. But, as fivethityeight suggested, this year bad weather could actually favor the Democrats because of the early-voting. We'll see. Nate has us at Obama +1.2.

crazy_gabrielle wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 04:24 pm (UTC)
I have hope for Obama. I've seen a lot of McCain signs, but also a bunch of Obama ones. And I think Democrats probably put up signs less often than Republicans do, so hopefully there are actually enough Democrats.
kwsapphire wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 05:05 pm (UTC)
Pasco? Really? That's where I am. Glad I voted weeks ago, huzzah absentee ballots! :P
absurdhero wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 06:47 pm (UTC)
Mickey Mouse can't run again due to term limits.
aimees wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 08:53 pm (UTC)
So far, I'm thinking Obama for Florida. But you never know with the Bush recount a few years ago.
celtickath wrote:
Nov. 4th, 2008 10:09 pm (UTC)
Okay silly folks! Let's screw that Mickey Mouse voting or ACORN will just get some more bad press, just teasing!
( Comment )